A few random thoughts before I talk sports. I know you probably came here for a long awaited return to picture posts from Dana. What can I say? I'm not sure why she's stopped doing them, but it's not for lack of encouragement.
Homewood starts back tomorrow, and luckily for me, so do I (I kept my job there - I think it's because I resisted the urge to include snarky jokes about teen angst in my newsletters). I am happy for the new year to start and to see and interact with the kids again - a good sign for working in a school long term.
Dana's newfound love of the dogs continues to grow. She helped me bathe them yesterday. We should have taken pictures of it. Both the dogs are getting too old to fight off a bath the way puppies do. Now, they just sit there now with a look like, "If you didn't feed me every night, I would attack you right now."
As far as any news from us, we've had a pretty uneventful summer. Dana's still quietly taking over her company, and I continue to quietly detest UAB while taking classes there. It was a boring summer all-in-all, but I'll still list some of our accomplishments:
-We celebrated Anniversary #2
-I went 3-0 against Dana in Monopoly.
-We killed our plants on the front walk.
-We got lost in Oak Mountain State Park in what amounted to a 4-hour hike.
-We saw Inception and disagreed on the what happened at the end.
-and I learned how to brew Moonshine in our backyard
Only one of those is made up.
As you can see in the side bar, we've been watching Arrested Development and loving it. I always knew we'd like it, but we finally started watching it and it's been worth the wait. And now I hear there's a movie coming. Also, Gob Bluth takes his place in my top 5 comedy characters of all time. He's fantastic...COME ON!!!
And now for football:
Alabama has stated Fall practice. Saban refuses to refer to the team as defending champs or in search of a repeat - anything that equates last year's team with this year's. It's a smart psychological ploy, but I can't imagine it really working. Luckily, I don't believe it will have to work. Meaning, Mark Ingram, Greg McElroy, Dont'a Hightower are guys that will be motivated regardless of the circumstances going in. We have character leadership. There are some question marks for this season for sure, but leadership -at least on offense- is not one of them. Everyone is talking about the secondary being a possible problem. It might be, but I'm much more concerned about our quality opponents that come off a bye week before they play us. There's six. SIX. Only two SEC teams play Alabama without a bye week beforehand. It's too much to expect another undefeated season if that is the case. In fact, if I were betting on Bama either losing no games or two, I'd bet on two.
List of teams that play Bama coming off a bye week:
Auburn (of course)*, LSU, Ole Miss, Miss St, South Carolina, and Tennessee
*not to be all narcissistic, but Auburn's entire self-image is wrapped up in what Alabama does. So, it is not surprising that although it would be helpful towards having a more successful season to schedule the bye week somewhere in the middle of the season to get healthy, regroup, etc., Auburn schedules theirs after 11 consecutive weeks of football. On the bright side, when you beat them anyway, it is extra sweet.
Who I know we'll beat:
San Jose State, Penn State, Duke, Ole Miss, Tennessee, Miss St, Georgia State, Auburn
Who we should beat, but I'm not 100% sure on yet:
LSU, Florida
Who scares me:
Arkansas, South Carolina
Obviously, LSU and Florida should be better than Arkansas and S.C., but our players know that too and will be sufficiently up for those games. Arkansas has a good offense, they're at home, and our defense will not be completely gelled yet. The South Carolina game scares me just because it is a tough place to play anyway and I never take Steve Spurrier lightly...even when he's been an average coach for 7 years.
So here are my top 5 predictions for this year in the SEC:
1) Auburn will start 6-0. Their schedule is set up for this, and it is also set up for a fade down the stretch. I think their new offensive backfield is going to be good. But as they saw last year, leads are never safe with them because their defense was soft. If their defense is good, AU wins 9 games. If not, they will fall flat after that 6-0 stretch just like they did last year. And by the way, I wouldn't mind it being just 5-0 with Kentucky winning at home against these guys. But I just don't see it happening.
2) Tennessee, by contrast will start 2-5. Their schedule is difficult, they have no depth, their coach is new (although he is likable). I keep trying to hate Derek Dooley, and it's not working. My dad pointed out that I haven't seen him on the UT sideline in orange yet, and that is the key to disliking anyone. Good point. My hope is that the UT fans lose patience with him before he turns them around. I wish they still had Lane Kiffin...life made more sense.
3) The SEC East will be represented in Atlanta by Georgia**. This is my boldest prediction by far. I just think that Florida will lose two games they shouldn't, and if UGA is one of them, I'll look pretty smart for this one. It's also bold in that I'm trusting a freshman QB and an unproven defense against a pretty tough schedule. I just think that something's going to be different in the SEC East this year.
**subject to change if Mark Richt allows another ridiculous uniform change for a big game.
4) Les Miles will be out of the SEC this time next year. I think he's going to fall flat this year. He's lost the fans which will lead to losing the players the first sign of adversity. His QB is a Jekyll/Hyde type. And he's certifiably insane. And if he somehow has a great season, he'll use that as his ticket to take over for the fledgling Rich Rodriguez at Michigan.
The room was actually empty, but Les kept taking questions anyway.
5) Alabama will win the SEC West and then the overall championship. Regardless of the way I feel about their chances to go undefeated, I do think that they'll win the important games. I don't want to make any prediction on who is going to be in the National Championship game, but if it doesn't include an SEC team, then the 2010 winner will be viewed as a paper champ.
I'm so happy it's almost here. Roll Tide!